Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.007807 0.009207 0.010892 0.013102 0.015975 0.019658 0.024863
2025-03-23 0.005966 0.007599 0.009795 0.013078 0.018075 0.025808 0.039658
2025-03-30 0.004844 0.006460 0.008786 0.012572 0.018999 0.030457 0.055490
2025-04-06 0.004163 0.005745 0.008146 0.012324 0.020096 0.035809 0.077530
2025-04-13 0.003771 0.005367 0.007908 0.012620 0.022207 0.044333 0.118073
2025-04-20 0.003541 0.005192 0.007944 0.013383 0.025547 0.058115 0.203151
2025-04-27 0.003310 0.004972 0.007854 0.013868 0.028504 0.073710 0.351961
2025-05-04 0.003054 0.004672 0.007561 0.013855 0.030261 0.087590 0.577296
2025-05-11 0.002836 0.004409 0.007294 0.013826 0.031987 0.103765 1.007311
2025-05-18 0.002618 0.004121 0.006933 0.013498 0.032723 0.117108 1.698230
2025-05-25 0.002394 0.003800 0.006467 0.012823 0.032123 0.123542 2.539016
2025-06-01 0.002213 0.003542 0.006096 0.012313 0.031898 0.132466 4.236467
2025-06-08 0.002096 0.003407 0.005992 0.012546 0.034766 0.170117 21.330368
2025-06-15 0.001969 0.003243 0.005811 0.012552 0.036964 0.212456 600.051891
2025-06-22 0.001822 0.003024 0.005482 0.012075 0.036986 0.237658 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001708 0.002862 0.005255 0.011841 0.037986 0.280658 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001641 0.002784 0.005208 0.012121 0.041645 0.385833 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001605 0.002766 0.005295 0.012843 0.048333 0.631255 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001556 0.002716 0.005297 0.013301 0.054220 1.008752 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001487 0.002617 0.005169 0.013289 0.057316 1.422683 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001423 0.002524 0.005045 0.013261 0.060429 2.067582 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001352 0.002410 0.004854 0.012951 0.061274 2.686189 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001272 0.002271 0.004589 0.012313 0.059113 2.874760 NaN